Our football model went 63-for-76 at the World Cup. Here are the 13 it got wrong.
Article summary
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Most football prediction sites publish a hit rate. Almost none publish the list of matches they got wrong. That asymmetry is the whole problem with accuracy claims in this space: a hit rate you can't audit is a marketing number, not a result. So here is ours, with the losses attached. Our model's favourite came through in 63 of 76 decisive World Cup 2026 matches. 82.9%. In the knockout rounds, its favourite advanced in 20 of 24 ties. The full graded record is public at…
1Key Takeaways
- Most football prediction sites publish a hit rate.
- Almost none publish the list of matches they got wrong.
- That asymmetry is the whole problem with accuracy claims in this space: a hit rate you can't audit is a marketing number, not a result.
- So here is ours, with the losses attached.
2AIWedia Score
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3Why it matters
Coding AI shifts how fast software ships and how much human review each change needs. DEV — ML reports that most football prediction sites publish a hit rate.
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